Forecast and Conditions for McDavid, Florida

Updated: 11:34 PM CST on November 08, 2009 Observed at Hurricane Ivan/Dennis Country, Cantonment, Florida
Temperature	65.8 °F
Humidity	77%
Dew Point	58 °F
Wind	ENE at 3.5 mph
Pressure	30.09 in (Falling)
Conditions	Clear
Visibility	10.0 miles
Clouds	Clear (CLR) : -
Yesterday's Maximum	76.8 °F
Yesterday's Minimum	40.6 °F
Normal high	69 °F
Normal low	50 °F
Record high	82 °F (2005)
Record low	35 °F (2007)
Sunrise	06:10 AM (CST)
Sunset	04:56 PM (CST)
Moon Rise	10:48 PM (CST)
Moon Set	11:47 AM (CST)
Moon Phase

Flash Flood Watch Statement as of 9:42 PM CST on November 8, 2009

... Flash Flood Watch in effect from Monday afternoon through
Tuesday morning...

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of Alabama and northwest
Florida... including the following areas... in Alabama...
Butler... Clarke... Conecuh... Covington... Crenshaw... Escambia...
lower Baldwin... lower Mobile... Monroe... upper Baldwin... upper
Mobile and Wilcox. In northwest Florida... coastal Escambia...
coastal Okaloosa... coastal Santa Rosa... inland Escambia...
inland Okaloosa and inland Santa Rosa.

* From Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning

* a Flash Flood Watch has been issued for eastern and coastal areas
of southwest Alabama generally east of the I-65 corridor including
Clark County in Alabama and all areas of northwest Florida from
midday Monday through midday Tuesday... due to excessive rainfall
from Ida. Ida is expected to move onshore early Tuesday morning
near the Florida Alabama border bringing heavy Rand bands to the
coastal areas of Florida and Alabama by mid afternoon on Monday
spreading inland over northwest Florida and parts of southwest
Alabama overnight and early Tuesday morning. Rainfall totals of 3
to 6 inches with locally higher amounts can be expected in watch
area... especially over the western Florida Panhandle.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

Special Weather Statement Statement as of 6:48 PM CST on November 8, 2009

... Ida slightly stronger and moving northward...

... This product will be use din lieu of the hurricane local
statement until technical issues are resolved...

.Areas affected...
This local statement provides important information and recommended
actions for people in select locations of inland southeast
Mississippi... southwest Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle.

.Watches/warnings... A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the
northern Gulf Coast from Grand Isle Louisiana to Mexico Beach
Florida... including Mobile Pensacola Navarre and Destin. A
Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within
the watch area... generally within 36 hours. Inland tropical storm
watches are in effect for inland southwest Alabama and interior
southeastern Mississippi.

Interests elsewhere along the northern coast of the Gulf of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Ida. Additional tropical cyclone
watches or warnings may be required tonight or Monday.

.Storm information... At 600 PM CST... the center of Hurricane Ida was
located near latitude 23.1 north... longitude 86.5 west or about
445 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.
Ida is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph. A gradual turn
toward the north and an increase in forward speed are expected
during the next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track... Ida is
expected to cross the Gulf of Mexico tonight and Monday... and be
near the northern Gulf Coast Monday night or early Tuesday.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph... with higher
gusts. Ida is a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Little change in strength is expected tonight... and Ida is forecast
to gradually weaken on Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure from aircraft data is 979
mb... or 28.91 inches.

... Winds...
the latest forecast is for strong tropical storm force winds to
onset Monday. On the current forecast path... Ida should be located
near the mouth of Mobile Bay by sunrise Tuesday with near hurricane
force winds sustained winds in the 65 to 75 mph range... with higher
gusts. Expect 40 50 mph winds inland with higher gusts possible.
Ida will then turn more to the east during the morning hours. Strong
surface high pressure to the north will create a very windy
situation even if ida's center does pass in close proximity to any
given point... so do not just focus on the latest track's centerline.
Power outages are a strong possibility with this Ida... especially
along the coast.

... Storm surge... total tide heights of 5 to 7 feet are possible west
of the Alabama-Florida line... especially in the upper reaches of
Mobile bay(including bayou sara)... dog river... the west end of
Dauphin Island and Bayou La Batre. East of Orange Beach total tide
heights will range from 2.5 to 3.5 feet. The time of astronomical
high tide on Tuesday will range from 2 to 3 am across the region.
This will exacerbate storm related flooding since ida's forecast
landfall is just a few hours thereafter. If Ida moves in
earlier... the time of astronomical high tide may coincide with
landfall which could raise the aforementioned values.

... Seas...
coastal Alabama and northwest Florida seas will build from their
current 7 to 10 feet range tonight... reaching a maximum of 20 to 25
feet early Tuesday morning near the peak of the event. Final
preparedness activities should be drawing to a close.

... Tornadoes...
tornadoes will mainly occur in ida's outer rainbands from midday
Monday into Tuesday. Tornadoes are most likely to occur in the
northeast quadrant of the storm and can happen a few hundred miles
from the storms center. Please be vigilant!

... Rainfall... ida's heaviest rainfall will be to the right of the
track and this will mainly fall along coastal areas of Alabama and
northwest Florida. Some 3 to 6 inches of rainfall could occur east
of I-65... especially closer to the coast. A Flood Watch may be
issued later.

.Next update...
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile by 11 PM.

Medlin

Inland Hurricane Wind Warning, Hurricane Warning Statement as of 10:49 PM CST on November 8, 2009

... Hurricane wind warning in effect until 6 PM CST Tuesday...
... Hurricane Warning in effect...

... New information...
at 900 PM CST... 0300 UTC... the center of Hurricane Ida was located
near latitude 23.7 north... longitude 86.7 west or about 400 miles...
645 km... south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.

Ida is moving toward the north-northwest near 14 mph. A turn toward
the north and an increase in forward speed are expected during the
next 24 hours... followed by a turn toward the northeast on Monday
night. On the forecast track... Ida is expected to cross the Gulf of
Mexico tonight and Monday... and approach the northern Gulf Coast
Monday night and make landfall early Tuesday morning near Pensacola pass.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph with higher gusts. Ida is a
category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Gradual weakening
is forecast... but Ida is expected to remain a hurricane as it
approaches the northern Gulf Coast.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the
center... and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175
miles... 280 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb... 28.91 inches.

... Precautionary/preparedness actions...
precautionary/preparedness actions...

For those under a warning... now is the time to rush to completion
preparations for the protection of life and property.

... Storm surge and storm tide...
total tide heights of 5 to 7 feet are possible west of the
Alabama-Florida line... especially in the upper reaches of Mobile
bay(including bayou sara)... dog river... the west end of Dauphin
Island and Bayou La Batre. This is track dependent. If Ida passes
further east..the low end of these values will be realized over
coastal Alabama. East of Orange Beach total tide heights will range
from 3 to 6 feet. The time of astronomical high tide on Tuesday will
range from 2 to 3 am across the region. This will exacerbate storm
related flooding since ida's forecast landfall is just a few hours
thereafter. If Ida moves in earlier... the time of astronomical high
tide may coincide with landfall which could raise the aforementioned
values.

... Winds...
the latest forecast is for tropical storm force winds to onset by
mid Monday afternoon near the coast and spreading northward
thereafter through the evening hours. The onset of hurricane force
winds will occur by early morning Tuesday and continue through mid morning.
Power outages are a strong possibility with Ida... especially along
the coast.

... Inland flooding...
ida's heaviest rainfall will be to the right of the track and this
will mainly fall along coastal areas of Alabama and northwest
Florida. Some 3 to 6 inches of rainfall could occur east of
I-65... especially closer to the coast. A Flash Flood Watch is in
effect for part of southwest Alabama and the western Florida
Panhandle.

... Tornadoes...
tornadoes will mainly occur in ida's outer rain bands from midday
Monday into Tuesday. Tornadoes are most likely to occur in the
northeast quadrant of the storm and can happen a few hundred
miles from the storms center.

Forecast as of 10:17 PM CST on November 8, 2009
Hurricane wind warning in effect until 6 PM CST Tuesday...

	Rest of Tonight Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
	Monday Tropical storm conditions possible with hurricane conditions also possible. Chance of rain in the morning...then rain in the afternoon. Rain may be heavy at times in the afternoon. Highs around 70. East winds 10 to 15 mph becoming 25 to 35 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 80 percent.
	Monday Night Tropical storm conditions expected with hurricane conditions possible. Rain. Rain may be heavy at times. Lows in the lower 60s. East winds 30 to 35 mph with gusts to around 50 mph becoming 35 to 45 mph with gusts to around 60 mph after midnight. Chance of rain 90 percent.
	Tuesday Tropical storm conditions expected with hurricane conditions possible. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds 45 to 55 mph becoming north and becoming 50 to 60 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 75 mph becoming 80 mph in the afternoon. Chance of showers 50 percent.
	Tuesday Night Tropical storm conditions possible. Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in the evening. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds 40 to 45 mph with gusts to around 60 mph becoming 5 to 15 mph after midnight. Chance of showers 20 percent.
	Veterans Day Mostly sunny. Highs around 70.
	Wednesday Night Clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
	Thursday Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
	Thursday Night Clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
	Friday Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
	Friday Night Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
	Saturday Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
	Saturday Night Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers. Lows 47 to 53. Chance of showers 20 percent.
	Sunday Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.