Forecast and Conditions for Mobile, Alabama

Updated: 9:59 PM EST on November 08, 2009
Observed at Austal USA, Mobile, Alabama
Temperature 67.7 °F
Humidity 78%
Dew Point 61 °F
Wind North at 7.0 mph
Pressure 30.13 in (Steady)
Conditions Clear
Visibility 10.0 miles
Clouds Clear (CLR) : -
Yesterday's Maximum 76 °F
Yesterday's Minimum 45 °F
Normal high 72 °F
Normal low 50 °F
Record high 83 °F (2005)
Record low 28 °F (1951)
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days 4
Yesterday's Cooling Degree Days 0
Sunrise06:12 AM (CST)
Sunset04:58 PM (CST)
Moon Rise10:50 PM (CST)
Moon Set11:50 AM (CST)
Moon Phase
Special Weather Statement
Statement as of 6:48 PM CST on November 8, 2009


... Ida slightly stronger and moving northward...

... This product will be use din lieu of the hurricane local
statement until technical issues are resolved...

.Areas affected...
This local statement provides important information and recommended
actions for people in select locations of inland southeast
Mississippi... southwest Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle.

.Watches/warnings... A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the
northern Gulf Coast from Grand Isle Louisiana to Mexico Beach
Florida... including Mobile Pensacola Navarre and Destin. A
Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within
the watch area... generally within 36 hours. Inland tropical storm
watches are in effect for inland southwest Alabama and interior
southeastern Mississippi.

Interests elsewhere along the northern coast of the Gulf of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Ida. Additional tropical cyclone
watches or warnings may be required tonight or Monday.

.Storm information... At 600 PM CST... the center of Hurricane Ida was
located near latitude 23.1 north... longitude 86.5 west or about
445 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.
Ida is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph. A gradual turn
toward the north and an increase in forward speed are expected
during the next 24 to 36 hours. On the forecast track... Ida is
expected to cross the Gulf of Mexico tonight and Monday... and be
near the northern Gulf Coast Monday night or early Tuesday.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph... with higher
gusts. Ida is a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Little change in strength is expected tonight... and Ida is forecast
to gradually weaken on Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure from aircraft data is 979
mb... or 28.91 inches.

... Winds...
the latest forecast is for strong tropical storm force winds to
onset Monday. On the current forecast path... Ida should be located
near the mouth of Mobile Bay by sunrise Tuesday with near hurricane
force winds sustained winds in the 65 to 75 mph range... with higher
gusts. Expect 40 50 mph winds inland with higher gusts possible.
Ida will then turn more to the east during the morning hours. Strong
surface high pressure to the north will create a very windy
situation even if ida's center does pass in close proximity to any
given point... so do not just focus on the latest track's centerline.
Power outages are a strong possibility with this Ida... especially
along the coast.

... Storm surge... total tide heights of 5 to 7 feet are possible west
of the Alabama-Florida line... especially in the upper reaches of
Mobile bay(including bayou sara)... dog river... the west end of
Dauphin Island and Bayou La Batre. East of Orange Beach total tide
heights will range from 2.5 to 3.5 feet. The time of astronomical
high tide on Tuesday will range from 2 to 3 am across the region.
This will exacerbate storm related flooding since ida's forecast
landfall is just a few hours thereafter. If Ida moves in
earlier... the time of astronomical high tide may coincide with
landfall which could raise the aforementioned values.

... Seas...
coastal Alabama and northwest Florida seas will build from their
current 7 to 10 feet range tonight... reaching a maximum of 20 to 25
feet early Tuesday morning near the peak of the event. Final
preparedness activities should be drawing to a close.

... Tornadoes...
tornadoes will mainly occur in ida's outer rainbands from midday
Monday into Tuesday. Tornadoes are most likely to occur in the
northeast quadrant of the storm and can happen a few hundred miles
from the storms center. Please be vigilant!

... Rainfall... ida's heaviest rainfall will be to the right of the
track and this will mainly fall along coastal areas of Alabama and
northwest Florida. Some 3 to 6 inches of rainfall could occur east
of I-65... especially closer to the coast. A Flood Watch may be
issued later.

.Next update...
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile by 11 PM.

Medlin



Hurricane Warning, Inland Hurricane Wind Watch, Hurricane Watch
Statement as of 9:00 PM CST on November 8, 2009


Pascagoula-MS 30.35n 88.55w
Indian-Pass-FL 29.68n 85.27w


Attn... WFO... lix... tae... mob...




843 PM CST sun Nov 8 2009

... Hurricane wind watch in effect through Tuesday afternoon...
... Hurricane Watch remains in effect...

... New information...
at 6 PM CST... the center of Hurricane Ida was located near
latitude 23.1 north... longitude 86.5 west... or about 140 miles
west-northwest of the western tip of Cuba. This is about
530 miles south of Mobile al... or about 510 miles south of
Pensacola FL. Storm motion was north-northwest or 340 degrees at 12
mph. Storm intensity was 105 mph.


... Precautionary/preparedness actions...
precautionary/preparedness actions...

Preparations should be made as soon as possible... before conditions
deteriorate tomorrow afternoon. Secure loose outdoor objects which
can be blown around. Strongly consider evacuating if you live in a
Mobile home... and do so if ordered by local officials.


... Storm surge and storm tide...
total tide heights of 5 to 7 feet are possible west
of the Alabama-Florida line... especially in the upper reaches of
Mobile bay(including bayou sara)... dog river... the west end of
Dauphin Island and Bayou La Batre. This is track dependent. If Ida
passes further east..the low end of these values will be realized
over coastal Alabama. East of Orange Beach total tide heights will range
from 3 to 6 feet. The time of astronomical high tide on Tuesday will
range from 2 to 3 am across the region. This will exacerbate storm
related flooding since ida's forecast landfall is just a few hours
thereafter. If Ida moves in earlier... the time of astronomical high
tide may coincide with landfall which could raise the aforementioned
values.


... Winds...
the latest forecast is for tropical storm force winds to onset by mid Monday
afternoon near the coast and spreading thereafter. On the current
forecast path... Ida should be located near the mouth of Mobile Bay by
sunrise Tuesday with near hurricane force winds sustained winds in
the 65 to 75 mph range... with higher gusts. Expect 40 50 mph winds
inland with higher gusts possible. Ida will then turn more to the
east during the morning hours. Strong surface high pressure to the
north will create a very windy situation even if ida's center does
pass in close proximity to any given point... so do not just focus on
the latest track's centerline. Power outages are a strong possibility
with this Ida... especially along the coast.

A general concern should be for the possibility of at least damaging
winds likely somewhere within the area.


... Inland flooding...
ida's heaviest rainfall will be to the right of the
track and this will mainly fall along coastal areas of Alabama and
northwest Florida. Some 3 to 6 inches of rainfall could occur east
of I-65... especially closer to the coast. A Flood Watch may be
issued later.

... Tornadoes...
tornadoes will mainly occur in ida's outer rainbands from midday
Monday into Tuesday. Tornadoes are most likely to occur in the
northeast quadrant of the storm and can happen a few hundred miles
from the storms center.








Forecast as of 3:49 PM CST on November 8, 2009

Hurricane wind watch in effect through Tuesday afternoon...
Tonight
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers after midnight. Near steady temperature in the lower 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Monday
Chance of rain in the morning...then rain in the afternoon. Rain may be heavy at times in the afternoon. Highs around 70. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent.
Monday Night
Tropical storm conditions possible with hurricane conditions also possible. Rain. Rain may be heavy at times. Near steady temperature in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 30 to 35 mph with gusts to around 50 mph becoming 30 to 40 mph with gusts to around 60 mph after midnight. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Tuesday
Tropical storm conditions possible with hurricane conditions also possible. Cloudy in the morning becoming partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs around 70. Northeast winds 40 to 50 mph with gusts to around 70 mph becoming 35 to 40 mph with gusts to around 55 mph in the afternoon. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Tuesday Night
Cooler. Mostly cloudy in the evening becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts to around 35 mph becoming 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
Veterans Day
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
Wednesday Night
Clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
Thursday
Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
Thursday Night
Clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
Friday
Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy. Near steady temperature in the upper 50s.
Saturday
Mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Sunday
Mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of showers 20 percent.
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